A new Nintendo console has been announced for a 2024 release date by reasonably reliable analyst Piers Harding-Rolls of Ampere Analysis.
Reported by Video Games Chronicle, Harding-Rolls believes that Nintendo will have a new next-gen console ready in a few years, but it’s not entirely clear if that will be the Nintendo Switch 2 or a whole new range of consoles.
“Ampère is currently planning to release a next-generation Nintendo device in 2024,” he said. “By the end of this year, Switch is expected to have sold 146 million units, which means it still has the potential to become the best-selling console of all time by the end of its lifespan. selling over 158 million units and surpassing the PlayStation 2.”
Nintendo said in 2021 that the Nintendo Switch, and by extension the Nintendo Switch Lite and Nintendo Switch OLED, had four or five years of life left. And passing the bar of 100 million units sold would be an indication. As such, 2024 would likely be the first Nintendo to release a new console.
In a note to VGC, Harding-Rolls also mentions that he thinks Switch sales will now inevitably decline until the platform holder reveals its next-gen console.
“Switch sales, setting aside unexpected strong growth in 2020 due to the pandemic and the release of Animal Crossing, are following a form of traditional console lifecycle,” he said.
“Even with the release of the OLED model, sales are expected to decline from their peak as the Switch reaches year six of the cycle in 2022 and Nintendo’s latest shipping forecasts reflect this.”
We have no doubt that Nintendo is working on new console hardware, especially when current Switch models only support 1080p output, but 4K TVs are now much more affordable and increasingly suitable; Check out our best 4K TVs if you don’t have one yet. But the Switch’s continued popularity, with upcoming game releases and Nintendo’s generally calm pace of releasing new hardware, we won’t be expecting any official word on a new console this year.
How likely is a Nintendo Switch 2?
Nintendo Switch 2 rumors have been slow so far. Earlier this year, Nintendo hinted that a “next-gen device” is on the way that could be backwards compatible with the Switch’s existing library. But no solid information followed that.
Although we got the Nintendo Switch OLED last year, it didn’t go far enough to make changes to what we already had in the base Switch; it’s the Switch model to get if you don’t already have one, but arguably not worth an upgrade over the standard Switch.
We can hope that after the OLED display, we will see a 4K display on the Switch 2. We might also see an increase in resolution. According to Bloomberg, a new Switch will use an advanced upscaling technique to achieve 4K resolution. Called Nvidia Deep Learning Super Sampling, or DLSS, this uses AI technology to efficiently mix graphics into high-resolution images without the performance requirements to render them, say, to native 4K. Alternatively, a next-gen Switch might have the power for full 4K output.
The Switch OLED comes with an Ethernet port, but we’re hoping for more ports on the Switch 2. We’re also hoping for more storage and seamless Bluetooth connectivity to connect wireless headphones to a next-gen Switch out of the box, rather than waiting for connectivity to be enabled years later, as was the case with the current Switch.
Additionally, Nintendo recently patented a unique health-tracking device, which is said to be able to track your sleep, monitor your mood via microphones and sensors, and even change the smell of a room. It’s unclear if this would be used as an accessory for current or future Switch consoles or another device all together; such a device could be a good accompaniment to health-related games such as Ring Fit Adventure.
That said, it’s possible Nintendo could create an entirely new console, perhaps taking inspiration from the Switch but not sharing its naming convention. After all, the GameCube was different from the N64, and the Wii U was just a pseudo successor to the Wii.
But again, Nintendo released multiple generations, as well as enhanced and alternate versions, of the Game Boy and 3DS. So we see no reason why he couldn’t do the same for the Switch, given that it’s now his only handheld console that he actively sells.
In short, we wouldn’t negate the potential of a Nintendo Switch 2, only we’d expect to wait another few years for it to arrive.